Election Integrity, AI, and Campaign-Finance Battles
Key Questions
What is the status of the SAVE Act in the Senate?
GOP efforts to pass the SAVE Act remain stalled in the Senate, where it is viewed as a potential poison pill amid shutdown negotiations.
What court ruling affected Trump's voter list order?
The 1st Circuit upheld an injunction blocking Trump's order to create a federal voter list, reinforcing state authority over elections and likely heading to the Supreme Court.
How are states responding to federal election funding conditions?
Oregon and a coalition of 26 states and DC have sued FEMA and DHS over new conditions on disaster funding. California is leading challenges to the use of terrorism funds for political purposes.
What is the latest on government shutdown odds?
Shutdown odds stand at 42% on Polymarket and 49.4% on Kalshi, with a deadline approaching September 30.
What does recent polling show about public confidence in elections?
Americans' confidence that elections will be run fairly has deteriorated to a low point, raising concerns ahead of the midterms.
What state-level election integrity efforts are underway?
In Indiana, Max Engling's campaign focuses on non-citizen voting and driver's license color coding. Connecticut has issued warnings about absentee ballot handling.
What happened with the House stock trading limits bill?
The House passed legislation limiting stock trading by members, though Democrats objected to an exemption for Trump.
How has the DOJ's 2020 election probe been impacted?
The probe received a significant blow, while Trump administration attempts to seize more election powers have sparked chaos and legal pushback in multiple states.
The Supreme Court has temporarily allowed states to use the administration's SAVE database, but documented false flags, Nevada's refusal, and the rarity of confirmed noncitizen voting highlight disenfranchisement and federalism risks. Election officials are preparing for federal pressure and possible intimidation, while courts continue to freeze the USPS mail-ballot rule and block Montana's AI campaign-ad law. Campaign AI, deepfakes, scams, and weak institutional trust remain major threats as the midterms approach.