Khamenei death/Mojtaba unconscious Qom; IRGC military council sidelining/Army rift (Zolghadr/Ghalibaf/Pezeshkian pressured), paralysis/psyops
Key Questions
What is the status of Iran's leadership?
Reports indicate Khamenei is dead and Mojtaba unconscious in Qom after strikes killed family members; IRGC hides info with a $10M bounty. IRGC military council is sidelining others, seizing power. Army defies IRGC amid rifts.
How is the IRGC responding to the power vacuum?
IRGC blocks President Pezeshkian's appointments and forms a military council post-Zolghadr, after Larijani/Khademi/Bagheri. They are taking control amid war, sidelining the president. Tehran regime shows implosion with Army defiance.
What actions are Iranians taking against strikes?
Iranians formed human chains around power plants, bridges ahead of Trump's deadlines. Authorities urged gatherings at potential targets. This reflects regime paralysis and psyops.
Is President Pezeshkian losing power?
Pezeshkian's office holds questionable real power as IRGC takes control. He penned an open letter to Americans. Ghalibaf denies US talks amid pressures on Zolghadr/Ghalibaf/Pezeshkian.
What experts say about Iran's situation?
Analysts like Takeyh and Crocker describe resilient paralysis and psyops. IRGC-Army rift deepens post-losses. Power struggle explodes in Tehran.
Mojtaba unconscious Qom (post-strike wounded/family killed, IRGC council hides info/NOPO/$10M bounty); Zolghadr post-Larijani/Khademi/Bagheri; IRGC blocks Pezeshkian appts/military council/seizes power, Army defies; Ghalibaf denies US talks/psyops; resilient paralysis (Takeyh/Crocker).