Tigray Conflict Reignites

Coordinated TDF-ENDF clashes and drone strikes (Merewa high school attack) mark the collapse of the Pretoria ceasefire. Abiy Ahmed issues hardline warning against TPLF, accusing forced recruitment and foreign backing. TDF weaker due to conscription and desertions. Risk of wider war involving Sudan and Egypt. Recent skirmishes near Kobo along the Tigray–Amhara frontline add to a pattern of localized clashes with forces massing, raising escalation risks.