National Dialogue and Political Settlement Unraveling

National Dialogue faces legitimacy crisis amid ongoing conflict in Amhara and Oromia; accusations of ruling-party interference. Territorial disputes remain unresolved, military solutions ineffective. Structural unraveling of political settlement continues. Governance analysis highlights disconnect between Addis Ababa and regions, economic strain, security fragmentation. Recent analysis underscores Tigrayan non-compliance and external dimensions as key risks to stability.