Daily US Market Brief

Oracle (ORCL) has sharply underperformed the S&P 500, falling 37.2% over the past year and 22.6% YTD versus the index's gains of 18.6% and 12.7%.
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Japan's share of the US Treasury market has dropped from around 10% to 4% as the Treasury expects to borrow more than $10 billion net per business day from July through December.

Active institutional managers sold a net $284 billion in U.S. equities over the 12 months through March 2026 while directing $119 billion into...

Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks are being read as a hawkish pivot on inflation, but the real goal appears to be anchoring long-term yields after...

Does the August durable-goods orders surge point to a sustained pickup in U.S. business investment?

• Orders rose 1.1%, beating the 0.4% forecast and...

• AI demand shock counters Middle East supply risks in a global tug-of-war, with AI driving one-third of recent U.S. growth.
• Nvidia's broadening...

• 0DTE resistance at 7770 held firm with no alarm bells
• Price action showed resilience across SPX and QQQ
• Month-end flows plus 401(k) inflows could fuel upside next week
• Swing positioning stays extremely light despite the setup

U.S. financial system remains in an ample-reserves regime after QT ended in Dec 2025, but with a much smaller domestic reverse-repo buffer and greater...

Warsh stressed that inflation has not yet been tamed even as the labor market holds up, prompting markets to price in a likely September rate hike....

Investors tracking the S&P 500 via ETFs should prioritize low costs and dividend handling to match their goals.

• Expense ratios directly reduce...

S&P 500 futures initially edged lower ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech but stocks turned higher after he noted the economy...

Gold consolidated around $4,650 ahead of the PCE release, with bulls awaiting the data for direction amid fading rate-hike bets.

After the report...

Trump's plan to raise the borrowing limit stands on shaky ground as 30-year bond yields retrace higher. With national debt climbing monthly, bonds are failing as interest costs rise, directly pressuring the fiscal outlook and bond markets.

U.S. stock futures ticked higher Tuesday as investors weigh Nvidia earnings against new Iran sanctions, with Polymarket showing a 68% chance of an S&P 500 higher open. Oil prices eased slightly despite the geopolitical tension.

Tuesday opened with modest futures gains as traders repositioned ahead of Nvidia earnings and PCE data. Chip stocks rebounded sharply, lifting the...

Nearly two-thirds of S&P 500 stocks have already entered correction territory even as the index holds up. Roughly 300 names, including TTD, CSGP and...

S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are recovering as investors process fresh regional releases, including Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity for August and the FHFA house price index for June.

US consumer confidence edged down to 89.4 in August as future expectations worsened, offsetting gains in current conditions.

• Present Situation...

Markets are bracing for a high-stakes week with compressed volatility and defensive positioning.

• Volatility compression: 1-day VIX closed below 9...

JPMorgan's technical analysis points to a head-and-shoulders pattern, RSI divergence, and weakening MACD on the S&P 500, warning of a sizable decline...