Created by Anthony Johnson
Daily snapshot of US indices, large-cap stocks, and key market-moving news
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Persistent 3.4% inflation and energy shocks are forcing the Fed toward a rate hike this week, putting Kevin Warsh's independence to the test against Trump's pressure for lower rates. Markets now see an 85% chance of a 25bp move.
Oil prices have swung from $60 in January to above $100 four times, hitting $118 in April before settling at $94, as the Iran conflict creates...
The S&P 500 holds above 7,670 at 7,672.29 (+1.06%) in a broad-based session, with the Dow up 0.99% and Nasdaq leading modestly at +1.13%. Gains held...
Oil's surge past $107 Brent began as a geopolitical event but quickly became a rates problem. Energy costs lifted PPI to 5.4% and pushed 10-year...
The bond selloff is turning into an international market concern, with European stock futures pointing to a lower open on Friday ahead of U.S. CPI data and focus centering on the 10-year Treasury yield.
How does the 162,000-job beat alter Fed cut expectations?
Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions pushed Brent crude above $100 a barrel, with attacks near the Strait of Hormuz spiking energy prices and stoking...
A hotter-than-expected August CPI, driven by energy, risks reinforcing the Treasury yield spike and tilting Fed policy toward hikes.
China's trade surplus rose to $119 billion, with the first eight months reaching $805.51 billion and the annual figure on track for new highs.
Strong payroll gains and revisions mask slowing momentum in the August report.
Market broadening remains limited, with technology stocks driving 7.6 of the 13.1% year-to-date Total Market Index return and large-caps accounting...
This week’s CPI and PPI releases could decide the Fed’s next rate move, with policy hinging on fractions of a percentage point. Markets see a hike tilt but lack high certainty as investors parse the marginal inflation data.
Dow futures plunged 491 points (0.9%) as oil hit six-week highs on U.S.-Iran strikes.
A low VIX at 17 masks record-low implied correlation near 20-year lows, prompting Goldman Sachs to hedge for a potential correlation spike that...
Higher discount rates from steady or rising Fed policy reduce the present value of distant earnings, hitting growth stocks hardest and driving Friday’s S&P 500 decline of 0.4%.
When CAPE and Buffett Indicator sit near extremes, three large-cap value names stand out for selective exposure.
Solid August payrolls of 162,000 crushed forecasts and revived September rate-hike odds, sending the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq down 0.51%, 0.38% and...
