African Wars, Ethiopia-Eritrea Rupture, and the Expanding Jihadist Threat

Sudan's war continues through drones, foreign backing, armed-group fragmentation, displacement, and hunger, while Ethiopia faces renewed fighting across Tigray, Afar, and Amhara amid a sharp rupture with Eritrea. Reported communication breakdown, troop movements, TPLF activity, and competing accusations could precede direct confrontation, while possible Egyptian involvement in Somalia could widen Red Sea and Horn rivalries; both developments require verification. JNIM, Boko Haram, and ISWAP continue exploiting weak regional security cooperation.