Precious Metals Macro Tracker

Gold & silver rebound post-rout on ceasefire despite USD/yields/Fed/Turkey sales

Gold & silver rebound post-rout on ceasefire despite USD/yields/Fed/Turkey sales

Key Questions

Why did gold surge past $4800?

Gold rebounded from $4497 lows to above $4800 on Iran ceasefire and Hormuz easing, acting as a safe-haven despite NFP strength, DXY rise, Turkey's 70t sales, and ETF outflows. Articles confirm gold rising above $4800 during Asian session post-ceasefire. East physical demand and bank targets of $4900-6200 support the move.

How has silver performed recently?

Silver steadied at $72-73, testing $71.50-75 levels post-rout. Technical analysis points to $73-75 targets. Speculative bets shrank amid DXY dominance, but rebound followed ceasefire.

What factors pressured gold despite the rebound?

USD strength, rising yields, Fed data, Turkey's 70t gold sales (120t total), and ETF outflows capped gains. DXY ease versus Eastern physical demand provided some offset. Macro anomalies noted rising dollar and falling gold amid Iran war.

What are the price targets for gold?

Goldman Sachs, JPM, UBS, and Wells Fargo target $4900-6200. Technical analysis sees $4700-4800. Gold hit $4760 on safe-haven breakout and central bank liquidity.

How did the Iran ceasefire impact precious metals?

Ceasefire hopes drove gold gains amid Hormuz tensions spike. Gold rose above $4800 as Iran agreed to two-week truce. Prices stabilized near $4650 as risks persist.

What role did Turkey play in gold markets?

Turkey sold or swapped nearly 70 tons of gold in the week to March 27, contributing to total 120t sales pressuring prices. Gold SWOT highlighted this amid palladium's strong week. Sales occurred despite geopolitical tensions.

Why is gold's rebound called a safe-haven divergence?

Gold and silver rebounded post-rout on ceasefire despite bearish USD/yields/Fed/Turkey factors, showing safe-haven resilience. DXY steady as Iran war escalates, but gold holds gains. Eastern physical and bank forecasts diverge from Western pressures.

What are current gold price levels and outlook?

Gold trades near $4815 post-surge, with current price around April 7 levels. Holds four-day gain as Trump sets Iran war exit stage. Geopolitical tensions battle monetary headwinds in standoff.

Gold surges past $4800 (from $4497 low) on Iran ceasefire/Hormuz ease amid NFP/DXY/Turkey 70t sell (120t total)/ETF outflows; silver $72-73 steady tests $71.50-75; DXY ease caps vs East physical/GS/JPM/UBS/Wells $4900-6200 tgts; TA $4700-4800 Au/$73-75 Ag.

Sources (38)
Updated Apr 8, 2026