市场质量、内幕信息与成交量解读仍是核心风险行业讨论指出,成交量增长不必然提升预测准确性,做市商利益冲突与参与者信息质量也值得关注。五角大楼据报道禁止军人及相关人员利用机密或其他非公开信息下注;目前没有新材料显示相关市场价格、成交量或执法结果受到影响。Sources (3)Sentiment vs. Reality: Using Kalshi Market Prices to Detect ...fletcherlawusa.comPrediction Markets Are Accuratemarginalrevolution.comPentagon bans troops from using nonpublic info to bet in ...kcra.comUpdated Oct 23, 2026