FOMC加息定价与跨平台宏观价差待核验一份追踪页显示9月15—16日FOMC加息概率约52%至53%,并声称Kalshi、Polymarket和期货存在价差。由于缺少完整盘口历史、成交量和可靠原始来源,目前只能视为弱情绪异动,需等待宏观数据发布及盘口复核。Sources (2)Trump Says the 'Stock Market Will Go Up,' But Here's What the Prediction Markets Are Betting onbenzinga.comIran Prediction Markets & Political Forecasts - Kalshikalshi.comUpdated Sep 3, 2026