Platform volumes, liquidity & predictive edge
Key Questions
What is the total trading volume across prediction markets mentioned?
The highlight reports a cumulative $240B in total volumes across platforms. This figure encompasses major players like Kalshi and Polymarket amid growing liquidity.
What are Kalshi's recent weekly volumes and valuation?
Kalshi recorded $2.7B in weekly volume and holds a $22B valuation. These metrics position it as a leading regulated prediction market platform.
What exploit affected Polymarket and how much was drained?
Polymarket suffered a $600K loss from a custom-contract exploit on an internal operational wallet. Related reports cite figures between $520K and $700K drained from a Polygon-linked wallet.
Are user funds safe following the Polymarket incident?
Polymarket confirmed that user funds remain unaffected and safe despite the internal wallet exploit. The platform ruled out a broader contract-level compromise.
What is Polymarket's timeline for Japan market approval?
Polymarket is pushing for Japanese government approval targeted by 2030. It has appointed a regional representative to support international expansion efforts.
What are the prediction market odds for Anthropic reaching $1T valuation?
Markets assign a 93% probability that Anthropic will achieve a $1T valuation before year-end. This reflects strong sentiment in company-specific prediction contracts.
Are 2026 World Cup markets currently active on prediction platforms?
Yes, both Kalshi and Polymarket host active 2026 World Cup prediction markets. Volumes in sports-related contracts have expanded significantly in recent weeks.
How do Polymarket and Kalshi differ in volumes and offerings?
Polymarket focuses on crypto-based markets with higher overall valuation at $15B while Kalshi emphasizes regulated weekly volumes of $2.7B. Key differences include fees, technology, and regulatory approaches.
$240B total; Kalshi $2.7B weekly at $22B val. Polymarket $15B val hit by $600K custom-contract exploit; Japan approval push to 2030; international expansion amid UMA governance issues. Anthropic 93% $1T odds, 2026 World Cup markets active.