Russia-Ukraine Insight

Economic Pressure on Russia (IEA Forecast, Fuel Crisis, Public Opinion)

Economic Pressure on Russia (IEA Forecast, Fuel Crisis, Public Opinion)

Key Questions

What does the IEA forecast for global oil demand?

The IEA predicts a decline in global oil demand for the first time since 2020. This development increases pressure on Russian energy exports.

How widespread is the fuel crisis inside Russia?

A fuel crisis affects more than 55 regions, with all 11 refineries impacted. Ukraine's drone attacks have created visible economic shocks.

What do Russian public opinion surveys indicate about the war?

81% of Russians want the war to end. This signals growing domestic desire for resolution amid ongoing pressures.

How are Ukraine's refinery strikes affecting global diesel markets?

The attacks have disrupted Russian oil infrastructure and roiled worldwide diesel supplies. This has led to broader economic ripple effects.

Is Russia still able to produce missiles under sanctions?

Russia continues manufacturing missiles with foreign components. This sustains its military production despite international restrictions.

IEA прогнозирует снижение глобального спроса на нефть впервые с 2020 года, что усугубляет давление на российский экспорт. Топливный кризис в 55+ регионах, все 11 НПЗ поражены. 81% россиян хотят окончания войны.

Sources (3)
Updated Jul 18, 2026
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